Fluminense FC vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fluminense FC vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A at Maracana.
- Fluminense FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- Grêmio FBPA 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec | Grêmio FBPA | H | 2–3 | L |
| 03 Dec | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Nov | Santos FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | Coritiba FBC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Nov | CR Flamengo | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec | Fluminense FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 03 Dec | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Nov | Goiás EC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Nov | CA Mineiro | A | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Nov | SC Corinthians Paulista | H | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Nov | Botafogo FR | A | 4–3 | W |
Season Stats
| Fluminense FC | Grêmio FBPA | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #16 |
| 31 | Points | 21 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 9 / 4 / 5 | W / D / L | 5 / 6 / 7 |
| 28 | Scored | 20 |
| 23 | Conceded | 23 |
| +5 | GD | -3 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 50% | Win % | 28% |
Key Stats
53%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
39%
Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season
Grêmio FBPA this season
Fluminense FC are 3rd (31 pts). Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 1 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
Grêmio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 9 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Fluminense FC get us underway at Maracana.
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fluminense FC that had 386 games and scored 415 goals.
- 10' Ferreira needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 15 Yellow cards this season.
- 15' Grêmio FBPA have won 383 goals from 326 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 20' It’s high time Fernando Diniz made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 32' That is a Yellow card for Gremio FBPA. Rodrigo Ely will be fuming at that decision.
- 34' Against the run of play, Jhon Arias has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 36' Controversy at the stadium! Andre argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 37' Reinaldo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 37.
- 42' Joao Pedro Galvao has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 43' What composure from Luis Suarez! The Uruguay international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 45' Magnificent from Everton! That is 6 goals in 326 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 45' Controversy at the stadium! Walter Kannemann argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 46' The crowd applauds Felipe Melo as he leaves the pitch. John Kennedy steps in for Fluminense FC.
- 51' Grêmio FBPA is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 56' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 61' Fluminense FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 64' Luis Suarez adds to his 6 season tally! Gremio FBPA lead 1-3 — and this changes everything.
- 69' Fluminense FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 70' The supporters are chanting for Franco Cristaldo. He replaces Felipe Carballo on 70 minute.
- 72' Fluminense FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 72.
- 75' The Fluminense FC bench stirs into life. Ganso is withdrawn and Lima gets his opportunity.
- 76' Diogo Barbosa is replacing Marcelo for the Fluminense FC side.
- 78' It is a substitution in Gremio FBPA team. Ferreira is replaced by Cuiabano on 78 minute.
- 81' Magnificent from John Kennedy! That is 22 goals in 386 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 86' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fluminense FC and Grêmio FBPA are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 87' Luis Suarez makes way for Joao Pedro Galvao at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from Gremio FBPA.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Fluminense FC.
Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
-
30
Felipe Melo ↓ John Kennedy 46'
-
23
Guga ↓ Yony Gonzalez 75'
- 10
-
12
Marcelo ↓ Diogo Barbosa 76'
- 11
-
33
Nino ↓ Thiago Santos 46'
- 14
- 7
- 21
- 8
Bench
- 44
- 2
-
40
Diogo Barbosa ↑ 76'
-
29
Thiago Santos ↑ 46'
- 4
-
38
Yony Gonzalez ↑ 75'
- 19
-
9
John Kennedy ↑ 46'
- 22
-
45
Lima ↑ 75'
- 20
- 5
Coach
Fernando Diniz
Grêmio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 31
- 6
- 5
-
9
Luis Suarez ↓ Joao Pedro Galvao 87'
- 18
-
23
Joao Pedro Pepe ↓ Ronald 87'
- 10
- 20
-
–
Everton ↓ Nathan Ribeiro 70'
- 8
Bench
- 7
-
11
Joao Pedro Galvao ↑ 87'
-
19
Franco Cristaldo ↑ 70'
- 22
- –
- 12
- 53
- 77
- –
-
54
Cuiabano ↑ 78'
-
35
Ronald ↑ 87'
-
32
Nathan Ribeiro ↑ 70'
Coach
Renato Gaucho
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yeferson Soteldo | 2 |
| Luis Suarez | 2 |
| Yony Gonzalez | 2 |
| Jhon Arias | 2 |
| Everton | 2 |
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Cesar Pinares | 2 |
| Andre | 1 |
Head to Head
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.66
Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47
Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for:
Fluminense FC or Grêmio FBPA 74% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Grêmio FBPA win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Fluminense FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
62%
Fluminense FC or Grêmio FBPA
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Grêmio FBPA win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–3 not predicted2 – 3Actual
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7.5%
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
6%
2 – 0
6%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC
| Handicap | Fluminense FC covers | Push | Grêmio FBPA covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 19% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 17% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

