FC Arouca vs GD Estoril Praia, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Arouca vs GD Estoril Praia — Primeira Liga at Municipal de Arouca.
- FC Arouca 34 games · 42 pts (2025/26)
- GD Estoril Praia 34 games · 39 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Antonio Nobre
- Assistant 1 Francisco Pereira (Portugal)
- Assistant 2 Goncalo Freire
11 games this season
🟨 0.9/game
⚽ 6.4 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 34 | 82 |
| 3 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34 | 80 |
| 4 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 34 | 59 |
| 5 | FC Famalicão | 34 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense FC | 34 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Arouca | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitória SC | 34 | 42 |
| 10 | GD Estoril Praia | 34 | 39 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave FC | 34 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Santa Clara | 34 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 34 | 34 |
| 15 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 34 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Tondela | 34 | 28 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | GD Estoril Praia | H | 3–2 | W |
| 21 Mar | Moreirense FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Mar | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Mar | FC Famalicão | A | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Feb | FC Porto | A | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Feb | CD Nacional | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr | FC Arouca | A | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Mar | Rio Ave FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | CD Nacional | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | Casa Pia AC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Feb | Sporting Clube de Portugal | A | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Feb | Gil Vicente FC | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Arouca | GD Estoril Praia | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #10 |
| 42 | Points | 39 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 6 / 16 | W / D / L | 10 / 9 / 15 |
| 47 | Scored | 54 |
| 64 | Conceded | 57 |
| -17 | GD | -3 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.15 |
| 35% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
70%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Arouca this season
FC Arouca this season
15%
Clean Sheets
GD Estoril Praia this season
GD Estoril Praia this season
FC Arouca are 8th (42 pts). GD Estoril Praia are 10th (39 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Arouca
0-15
2/3
16-30
1/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/4
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
GD Estoril Praia
0-15
1/6
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Municipal de Arouca that hosts another battle between FC Arouca and GD Estoril Praia.
- 3' Xeka puts GD Estoril Praia on the lead.
- 8' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 8 minutes.
- 13' What a strike from Barbero! The score is 1-1.
- 18' GD Estoril Praia looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Xeka scoring 1 goals.
- 23' A meaty challenge results in booking for Jordan Holsgrove on 23.
- 28' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Alejandro Marques made 519 appearances and scored 20 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 32' Yanis Begraoui puts GD Estoril Praia on the lead.
- 37' GD Estoril Praia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 42' It looks like no one’s ball. GD Estoril Praia is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 47' What a strike from Jose Fontan! The score is 2-2.
- 52' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 55' FC Arouca is taking the lead after the goal scored by Pablo Gozalbez on 55.
- 56' Pablo Gozalbez is having his name booked by the referee on 56.
- 61' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with GD Estoril Praia winning 50% of all matches.
- 65' The whistle greets Xeka as he departs to be replaced by Alejandro Marques.
- 70' Pizzi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 71' GD Estoril Praia player sees a card in front of him.
- 74' Peixinho is replacing Andre for the GD Estoril Praia side.
- 77' Time for substitution for FC Arouca. Pablo Gozalbez is replaced by Puche.
- 82' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 83' The whistle greets Barbero as he departs to be replaced by Pedro Santos.
- 88' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Ignacio De Arruabarrena.
- 90' Time for substitution for FC Arouca. Nais Djouahra is replaced by Fally Mayulu.
- Another three points for FC Arouca.
Lineups
FC Arouca Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
-
7
Nais Djouahra ↓ Fally Mayulu 90'
- 15
-
17
Barbero ↓ Pedro Santos 83'
- 28
-
10
Pablo Gozalbez ↓ Puche 77'
- 3
-
21
Taichi Fukui ↓ Brian Mansilla 83'
- 12
-
14
Hyun-Ju Lee ↓ Mateo Flores 90'
- 22
Bench
- 1
- 44
- 5
- 6
-
89
Pedro Santos ↑ 83'
-
11
Puche ↑ 77'
-
9
Fally Mayulu ↑ 90'
-
24
Brian Mansilla ↑ 83'
-
46
Mateo Flores ↑ 90'
Coach
Vasco Seabra
GD Estoril Praia Lineups
4-3-1-2Starting XI
-
12
Joao Carvalho ↓ Pizzi 65'
-
8
Xeka ↓ Alejandro Marques 65'
- 14
- 1
-
24
Pedro Amaral ↓ Pedro Carvalho 65'
- 2
- 25
- 6
- 10
- 19
- 5
Bench
-
21
Pizzi ↑ 65'
- 16
-
9
Alejandro Marques ↑ 65'
- 31
-
70
Peixinho ↑ 74'
-
22
Pedro Carvalho ↑ 65'
- 97
- 7
Coach
Ian Cathro
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alejandro Marques | 3 |
| Jordan Holsgrove | 2 |
| Rafa Mujica | 2 |
| Andre Silva | 2 |
| Oday Dabbagh | 2 |
| Wagner Pina | 1 |
| Cassiano | 1 |
| Henrique Araujo | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Arouca Form
GD Estoril Praia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.09
FC Arouca xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.99
GD Estoril Praia xG
I would bet for:
FC Arouca or GD Estoril Praia 78% + Over 2.5 goals 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Arouca win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.08
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 4.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
Double Chance
FC Arouca or Draw
67%
Draw or GD Estoril Praia
55%
FC Arouca or GD Estoril Praia
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.8%
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
7%
1 – 2
6.8%
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 2
Actual
2 – 3
4.6%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
3.8%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 3
3.3%
1 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — FC Arouca
| Handicap | FC Arouca covers | Push | GD Estoril Praia covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 12% | 76% |
| -1.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -1 | 24% | 17% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 17% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 11% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
FC Arouca keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
GD Estoril Praia keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

