Thursday , 2 July 2026

CR Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 19 Jul 2025 · 20:30 UTC Sao Januario HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CR Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio FBPASerie A at Sao Januario.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jul Grêmio FBPA H 1–1 D
12 Jul Botafogo FR H 0–2 L
13 Jun Sao Paulo FC A 3–1 W
01 Jun RB Bragantino H 0–2 L
24 May Fluminense FC A 1–2 L
17 May Fortaleza EC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jul CR Vasco da Gama A 1–1 D
13 Jul Cruzeiro EC A 1–4 L
12 Jun SC Corinthians Paulista H 1–1 D
01 Jun EC Juventude A 2–0 W
25 May EC Bahia H 1–0 W
18 May Sao Paulo FC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

CR Vasco da Gama Grêmio FBPA
#17 Position #16
20 Points 21
18 Played 18
5 / 5 / 8 W / D / L 5 / 6 / 7
22 Scored 20
29 Conceded 23
-7 GD -3
1.11 PPG 1.17
28% Win % 28%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season

CR Vasco da Gama are 17th (20 pts). Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/3
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
Thiago Mendes 3 G 1 A
Cauan Lucas 3 G
Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Sao Januario!
  • 5' CR Vasco da Gama has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 10' Grêmio FBPA fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CR Vasco da Gama and Grêmio FBPA are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
  • 40' Leo Jardim has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 43' Controversy at the stadium! Edenilson argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 45' Cristian Olivera catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
  • 46' Mathias Villasanti is replacing Edenilson for the Gremio FBPA side.
  • 51' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CR Vasco da Gama side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 54' Cristian Pavon gets the nod from Gremio FBPA. He replaces Cristian Olivera and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 59' Both keepers have barely been tested. CR Vasco da Gama and Grêmio FBPA are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 60' A moment of madness from Paulo Henrique on 60 minutes earns him a card. CR Vasco da Gama will be frustrated.
  • 64' The Brazil Lucas Freitas breaks the deadlock on 64 minutes. 1-0!
  • 68' Gremio FBPA ring the changes. Alysson has done his job and it is now time for Riquelme to step up.
  • 73' It looks surprising CR Vasco da Gama does not make any changes. Nuno Moreira has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 74' Another substitution for Gremio FBPA to replace Martin Braithwaite by Andre on 74 minute.
  • 76' Tucurui is ready to make an impact after coming on for David at the 76 minute mark.
  • 79' It’s gonna be a card for Joao Victor.
  • 80' Gustavo Martins adds to his 0 season tally! Gremio FBPA lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 85' The CR Vasco da Gama bench stirs into life. Joao Victor is withdrawn and Loide Augusto gets his opportunity.
  • 90' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Alex Santana suffering a number of foals already.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.26 CR Vasco da Gama xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for: CR Vasco da Gama or Grêmio FBPA 71% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
CR Vasco da Gama38% Draw29% Grêmio FBPA33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

CR Vasco da Gama or Draw
67%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
62%
CR Vasco da Gama or Grêmio FBPA
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CR Vasco da Gama26% Draw49% Grêmio FBPA25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.6%
1 – 0
9.5%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 0
6.5%
0 – 2
6.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — CR Vasco da Gama

Handicap CR Vasco da Gama covers Push Grêmio FBPA covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 20% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 19% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
30%
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.