Tuesday , 7 July 2026

Botafogo FR vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Wed 29 Jul 2026 · 20:00 UTC Municipal Nilton Santos

Overview

Match Preview

Botafogo FR vs Grêmio FBPASerie A at Municipal Nilton Santos.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 May EC Bahia A 0–0 D
23 May Sao Paulo FC A 1–1 D
17 May SC Corinthians Paulista H 3–1 W
10 May CA Mineiro A 1–1 D
02 May Clube do Remo H 1–2 L
25 Apr SC Internacional H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 May SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–0 D
23 May Santos FC H 3–2 W
17 May EC Bahia A 1–1 D
10 May CR Flamengo H 0–0 D
02 May CA Paranaense A 0–0 D
26 Apr Coritiba FBC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Botafogo FR Grêmio FBPA
#12 Position #16
22 Points 21
17 Played 18
6 / 4 / 7 W / D / L 5 / 6 / 7
31 Scored 20
31 Conceded 23
+0 GD -3
1.29 PPG 1.17
35% Win % 28%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season

Botafogo FR are 12th (22 pts). Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Botafogo FR
0-15
5/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Botafogo FR
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira 7 G 2 A
Arthur Cabral 7 G 1 A
Edenilson 4 G 2 A
Matheus Martins 4 G
Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G

H2H

Predictions

1.8 Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44 Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

Botafogo FR46% Draw25% Grêmio FBPA29%

Both Teams to Score

Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.24

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Botafogo FR or Draw
71%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
54%
Botafogo FR or Grêmio FBPA
75%

Half-Time Result

Botafogo FR34% Draw42% Grêmio FBPA24%

Correct Score

1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
7%
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
5.3%
0 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR

Handicap Botafogo FR covers Push Grêmio FBPA covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 20% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 16% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
25%
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.