Grêmio FBPA vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Grêmio FBPA vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.
- Grêmio FBPA 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 18 games · 41 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Sep | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 4–4 | D |
| 15 Sep | RB Bragantino | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Sep | Cuiaba EC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Aug | Cruzeiro EC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Aug | Santos FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep | Grêmio FBPA | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Sep | Goiás EC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Sep | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Aug | Deportivo Pereira | H | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Aug | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | Deportivo Pereira | A | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Grêmio FBPA | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #1 |
| 21 | Points | 41 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 5 / 6 / 7 | W / D / L | 12 / 5 / 1 |
| 20 | Scored | 30 |
| 23 | Conceded | 13 |
| -3 | GD | +17 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 2.28 |
| 28% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season
Grêmio FBPA this season
39%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts). SE Palmeiras are 1st (41 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Grêmio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 9 G |
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 6 G | 3 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 2 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 3 G | |
| Jhon Arias | 3 G | |
| Vitor Roque | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Grêmio FBPA welcome SE Palmeiras for this crunch clash at Arena do Gremio.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Grêmio FBPA is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 9' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Joao Pedro makes it 0-1.
- 14' SE Palmeiras come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 19' SE Palmeiras seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 24' Mathias Villasanti has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 29' Marcos Rocha has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 34' A moment of madness from Rodrigo Ely on 34 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Gremio FBPA will be frustrated.
- 35' It is a substitution in Gremio FBPA team. Rodrigo Ely is replaced by Bruno Uvini on 35 minute.
- 40' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Renato Gaucho will be considering his options from the bench.
- 45' That is a Yellow card for SE Palmeiras. Marcos Rocha will be fuming at that decision.
- 46' Gremio FBPA make a change. Nathan trudges off to be replaced by Everton on 46 minutes.
- 51' The energy levels are beginning to show. Renato Gaucho might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 56' Andre gets the nod from Gremio FBPA. He replaces Joao Pedro Galvao and will look to change the dynamic.
- 59' It’s a booking for Gremio FBPA player. Mathias Villasanti gets a Yellow card.
- 63' A moment of madness from Mayke on 63 minutes earns him a Yellow card. SE Palmeiras will be frustrated.
- 65' SE Palmeiras make a change. Marcos Rocha trudges off to be replaced by Luis Guilherme on 65 minutes.
- 70' Grêmio FBPA currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 72' It’s a booking for SE Palmeiras player. Gabriel Menino gets a Yellow card.
- 74' Richard Rios is replacing Gabriel Menino for the SE Palmeiras side.
- 79' Breno Lopes is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Grêmio FBPA tonight.
- 81' The SE Palmeiras manager makes a substitution. Ze Rafael departs to be replaced by Breno Lopes.
- 85' The referee does not hesitate — a Red card for Mathias Villasanti on 85 minutes.
- 86' That looks like a foul for a Red card for Mathias Villasanti.
- 89' Ronald gets the nod from Gremio FBPA. He replaces Luis Suarez and will look to change the dynamic.
- The points are shared — Grêmio FBPA 1-0 SE Palmeiras. Honours even.
Lineups
Grêmio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 14
- 34
- 6
- 5
- 9
- 11
- 18
- 19
- 23
- 20
- 12
Bench
- 7
- 31
- 2
- 21
- 10
- 22
- –
- 53
- –
- 77
- 54
- 35
Coach
Renato Gaucho
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
-
8
Ze Rafael ↓ Breno Lopes 81'
- 23
- 21
- 12
-
2
Marcos Rocha ↓ Luis Guilherme 65'
-
14
Artur Guimaraes ↓ Kevin Santos 65'
- 15
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↓ Richard Rios 74'
- 26
- 22
- 9
Bench
- 30
-
10
Rony ↑ 65'
- 42
- 6
- 32
-
19
Breno Lopes ↑ 81'
- 13
- 40
- 35
-
37
Kevin Santos ↑ 65'
-
31
Luis Guilherme ↑ 65'
-
27
Richard Rios ↑ 74'
Coach
Abel Ferreira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 7 |
| Diego Souza | 3 |
| Estevao | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Carlos Vinicius | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Marlon Freitas | 2 |
| Deyverson | 2 |
Head to Head
Grêmio FBPA Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.87
Grêmio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
Grêmio FBPA or SE Palmeiras 70% + Under 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Grêmio FBPA win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Grêmio FBPA or Draw
60%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
70%
Grêmio FBPA or SE Palmeiras
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Grêmio FBPA win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
13.7%
0 – 1
13.7%
0 – 2
9.3%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
5.4%
2 – 0
4.1%
0 – 3
4%
2 – 2
3.7%
1 – 3
3.6%
2 – 3
1.7%
Asian Handicap — Grêmio FBPA
| Handicap | Grêmio FBPA covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 15% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +1 | 55% | 24% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 14% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
28%
✗
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
43%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

