Thursday , 2 July 2026

Grêmio FBPA vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 00:30 UTC Arena do Gremio 21,984 HT 45' · FT 45'
Alexander Aravena 13' 1–0
1–1 18' Hercules
Martin Braithwaite 60' 2–1
Yeferson Soteldo 90+1' 3–1
Y 35' Eros Mancuso
Y 69' Juan Lucero
YR 80' Eros Mancuso
Joao Pedro 86' Y
Dodi 88' Y
Fabio 91' R

Overview

Match Preview

Grêmio FBPA vs Fortaleza ECSerie A at Arena do Gremio.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Fortaleza EC H 3–1 W
29 Sep Botafogo FR A 0–0 D
25 Sep Criciúma EC H 1–2 L
22 Sep CR Flamengo H 3–2 W
15 Sep RB Bragantino A 2–2 D
01 Sep CA Mineiro H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Grêmio FBPA A 1–3 L
29 Sep Cuiaba EC H 1–0 W
22 Sep EC Bahia H 4–1 W
14 Sep CA Paranaense A 1–1 D
11 Sep SC Internacional A 1–2 L
01 Sep Botafogo FR A 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Grêmio FBPA to score. At the same time, Fortaleza EC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Renato Gaucho will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 13' Alexander Aravena makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Gremio FBPA are in front.
  • 18' The deadlock is broken! Hercules gets on the scoresheet on 18 minutes.
  • 23' Fortaleza EC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 28' Eros Mancuso, a Argentina , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 31' Geromel is replacing Gustavo Martins for the Gremio FBPA side.
  • 35' It’s gonna be a card for Eros Mancuso.
  • 40' Grêmio FBPA started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
  • 45' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Grêmio FBPA and Fortaleza EC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 50' Grêmio FBPA currently sit 14 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 55' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 60' Martin Braithwaite does the damage! The net is bulging and Gremio FBPA surge ahead!
  • 62' A change in the Fortaleza EC ranks — Hercules exits the field as Tomas Pochettino enters on 62.
  • 63' Fortaleza EC make a change. Jose Welison trudges off to be replaced by Kervin Andrade on 63 minutes.
  • 66' Gremio FBPA ring the changes. Alexander Aravena has done his job and it is now time for Yeferson Soteldo to step up.
  • 69' A moment of madness from Juan Lucero on 69 minutes earns him a card. Fortaleza EC will be frustrated.
  • 73' It is a substitution in Fortaleza EC team. Breno Lopes is replaced by Moises on 73 minute.
  • 78' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 80' Eros Mancuso is having his name booked by the referee on 80.
  • 83' Another change for Gremio FBPA made on 83 minute. Caique leaves to be changed by Rafael Cabral.
  • 84' The supporters are chanting for Leandro Martinez. He replaces Matheus Rossetto on 84 minute.
  • 86' Gremio FBPA player sees a card in front of him.
  • 88' A meaty challenge results in booking for Dodi on 88.
  • Another three points for Grêmio FBPA.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.52 Grêmio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Grêmio FBPA47% Draw27% Fortaleza EC26%
Actual: Grêmio FBPA win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Grêmio FBPA or Draw
74%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
53%
Grêmio FBPA or Fortaleza EC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Grêmio FBPA32% Draw47% Fortaleza EC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
10%
0 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
8.9%
2 – 0
8.1%
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Grêmio FBPA

Handicap Grêmio FBPA covers Push Fortaleza EC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 22% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
34%
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.