Thursday , 2 July 2026

Fortaleza EC vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2024 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2024
Fortaleza EC
1 – 0
Full Time
Grêmio FBPA
Wed 19 Jun 2024 · 23:00 UTC Castelao 16,935 HT 45' · FT 45'
Juan Lucero pen 42' 1–0
Pedro Augusto 33' Y
R 44' Joao Pedro Pepe
Y 45' Rodrigo Ely
Y 45' Agustin Marchesin
Y 80' Edenilson
Calebe 90' Y
Juan Lucero 90' Y
Y 90' Reinaldo
Imanol Machuca 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Fortaleza EC vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A at Castelao.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

3
6
3
Fortaleza EC 12 games · Avg 1.8 goals Grêmio FBPA
Last 5 meetings
2024-06-19 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Grêmio FBPA 2023-09-30 Fortaleza EC 1–1 Grêmio FBPA 2023-05-14 Grêmio FBPA 0–0 Fortaleza EC 2021-10-13 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Grêmio FBPA 2021-06-27 Grêmio FBPA 0–0 Fortaleza EC

Recent Form

Fortaleza EC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jun Grêmio FBPA H 1–0 W
16 Jun Cuiaba EC A 0–5 L
14 Jun EC Bahia A 0–1 L
02 Jun CA Paranaense H 1–0 W
12 May Botafogo FR H 1–1 D
05 May SC Corinthians Paulista A 0–0 D
Grêmio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jun Fortaleza EC A 0–1 L
16 Jun Botafogo FR H 1–2 L
13 Jun CR Flamengo A 1–2 L
08 Jun Estudiantes de La Plata H 1–1 D
01 Jun RB Bragantino H 0–2 L
29 May Club The Strongest H 4–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Fortaleza EC is hosting Grêmio FBPA for another epic battle.
  • 5' Grêmio FBPA started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' A quiet spell here at Castelao. Grêmio FBPA seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Fortaleza EC and Grêmio FBPA are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 20' It looks surprising Fortaleza EC does not make any changes. Agustin Marchesin has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Tomas Pochettino made 170 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 30' The energy levels are beginning to show. Juan Vojvoda might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 33' The referee calls foul for Pedro Augusto. He receives a card.
  • 38' Supporters expect more eagerness from Tomas Cardona, as he is very good at scoring at Castelao with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 42' Juan Lucero doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 44' The referee calls foul for Joao Pedro Pepe. He receives a card.
  • 45' The referee has no hesitation. Rodrigo Ely is booked for Gremio FBPA — card on 45.
  • 46' A tactical swap from Gremio FBPA — Nathan Ribeiro on, Joao Pedro Galvao off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 56' The travelling Grêmio FBPA supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 61' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 66' The Gremio FBPA bench stirs into life. Du Queiroz is withdrawn and Felipe Carballo gets his opportunity.
  • 67' Jose Welison has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hercules on 67 minute.
  • 72' The Fortaleza EC manager makes a substitution. Tomas Pochettino departs to be replaced by Calebe.
  • 77' The Fortaleza EC bench stirs into life. Pedro Augusto is withdrawn and Lucas Sasha gets his opportunity.
  • 78' Imanol Machuca gets the nod from Fortaleza EC. He replaces Breno Lopes and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 80' The referee shows Gremio FBPA player a card on 80.
  • 85' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 86' Franco Cristaldo is replacing Joao Pedro for the Gremio FBPA side.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Fortaleza EC player. Calebe gets a card.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Fortaleza EC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Juan Vojvoda

Grêmio FBPA Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Renato Gaucho

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Martin Braithwaite 3
Pepe 2
Osvaldo 2
Diego Souza 1
Carlos Vinicius 1
Yago Pikachu 1
Matheus Pereira 1
Luis Suarez 1

Head to Head

2024-06-19 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Grêmio FBPA 2023-09-30 Fortaleza EC 1–1 Grêmio FBPA 2023-05-14 Grêmio FBPA 0–0 Fortaleza EC 2021-10-13 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Grêmio FBPA 2021-06-27 Grêmio FBPA 0–0 Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC Form

2024-06-19 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Grêmio FBPA W 2024-06-16 Cuiaba EC 5–0 Fortaleza EC L 2024-06-14 EC Bahia 1–0 Fortaleza EC L 2024-06-02 Fortaleza EC 1–0 CA Paranaense W 2024-05-12 Fortaleza EC 1–1 Botafogo FR D 2024-05-05 SC Corinthians Paulista 0–0 Fortaleza EC D

Grêmio FBPA Form

2024-06-19 Fortaleza EC 1–0 Grêmio FBPA L 2024-06-16 Grêmio FBPA 1–2 Botafogo FR L 2024-06-13 CR Flamengo 2–1 Grêmio FBPA L 2024-06-08 Grêmio FBPA 1–1 Estudiantes de La Plata D 2024-06-01 Grêmio FBPA 0–2 RB Bragantino L 2024-05-29 Grêmio FBPA 4–0 Club The Strongest W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.16 Fortaleza EC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.68 Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 72% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fortaleza EC50% Draw31% Grêmio FBPA19%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.84
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 55%
45%
± 2.5 28%
72%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Fortaleza EC or Draw
81%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
50%
Fortaleza EC or Grêmio FBPA
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fortaleza EC30% Draw56% Grêmio FBPA14%
Actual: Fortaleza EC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.5%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.4%
2 – 0
10.2%
0 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
3.9%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 1
2.8%
2 – 2
2.5%
4 – 0
1.1%

Asian Handicap — Fortaleza EC

Handicap Fortaleza EC covers Push Grêmio FBPA covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 26% 54%
-0.5 46% — 54%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 14% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
51% ✓
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.