Thursday , 2 July 2026

CR Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 22 Mar 2026 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CR Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio FBPASerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Davi de Oliveira Lacerda (Brazil)
12 games this season 🟨 2.9/game 9.7 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Mar Grêmio FBPA H 2–1 W
19 Mar Fluminense FC H 3–2 W
15 Mar Cruzeiro EC A 3–3 D
12 Mar SE Palmeiras H 2–1 W
26 Feb Santos FC A 1–2 L
12 Feb EC Bahia H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Mar CR Vasco da Gama A 1–2 L
19 Mar EC Vitoria H 2–0 W
16 Mar Chapecoense AF A 1–1 D
13 Mar RB Bragantino H 1–1 D
26 Feb CA Mineiro H 2–1 W
12 Feb Sao Paulo FC A 0–2 L

Season Stats

CR Vasco da Gama Grêmio FBPA
#17 Position #16
20 Points 21
18 Played 18
5 / 5 / 8 W / D / L 5 / 6 / 7
22 Scored 20
29 Conceded 23
-7 GD -3
1.11 PPG 1.17
28% Win % 28%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
CR Vasco da Gama this season
39% Clean Sheets
Grêmio FBPA this season

CR Vasco da Gama are 17th (20 pts). Grêmio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
0-15
/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/3
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Grêmio FBPA
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CR Vasco da Gama
Thiago Mendes 3 G 1 A
Cauan Lucas 3 G
Grêmio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

CR Vasco da Gama Lineups

Grêmio FBPA Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.46 CR Vasco da Gama xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for: CR Vasco da Gama or Grêmio FBPA 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CR Vasco da Gama44% Draw27% Grêmio FBPA29%
Actual: CR Vasco da Gama win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.68
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

CR Vasco da Gama or Draw
72%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
56%
CR Vasco da Gama or Grêmio FBPA
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CR Vasco da Gama30% Draw47% Grêmio FBPA23%
Actual: CR Vasco da Gama win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
9%
0 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.4%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
7.2%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.2%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — CR Vasco da Gama

Handicap CR Vasco da Gama covers Push Grêmio FBPA covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 21% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 17% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

CR Vasco da Gama keeps clean sheet
30%
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.