Tuesday , 7 July 2026

CA Velez Sarsfield vs CA Independiente, Superliga Argentina 2026 CLAUSURA

Sun 2 Aug 2026 · 19:00 UTC El Fortin de Liniers

Overview

Recent Form

Season Stats

CA Velez Sarsfield CA Independiente
#1 Position #7
51 Points 40
27 Played 27
14 / 9 / 4 W / D / L 9 / 13 / 5
38 Scored 25
16 Conceded 17
+22 GD +8
1.89 PPG 1.48
52% Win % 33%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
41% Clean Sheets
CA Velez Sarsfield this season
24% Clean Sheets
CA Independiente this season

CA Velez Sarsfield are 1st (51 pts). CA Independiente are 7th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Velez Sarsfield
0-15
4/1
16-30
/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Independiente
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/
61-75
/1
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Velez Sarsfield
Florian Monzon 6 G
Matias Pellegrini 3 G 2 A
Manuel Lanzini 3 G
CA Independiente
Gabriel Avalos 10 G 5 A
Matias Abaldo 5 G 1 A

H2H

Predictions

1.19 CA Velez Sarsfield xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83 CA Independiente xG
I would bet for: CA Velez Sarsfield or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

CA Velez Sarsfield43% Draw31% CA Independiente26%

Both Teams to Score

Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.02

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

CA Velez Sarsfield or Draw
74%
Draw or CA Independiente
57%
CA Velez Sarsfield or CA Independiente
69%

Half-Time Result

CA Velez Sarsfield28% Draw54% CA Independiente18%

Correct Score

0 – 0
15.6%
1 – 0
14.4%
1 – 1
14%
0 – 1
9.7%
2 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
5.3%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.5%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 1
3.1%
1 – 3
1.5%

Asian Handicap — CA Velez Sarsfield

Handicap CA Velez Sarsfield covers Push CA Independiente covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 13% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 24% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 16% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

CA Velez Sarsfield keeps clean sheet
44%
CA Independiente keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.