Thursday , 2 July 2026

EC Bahia vs Grêmio FBPA, 2018

Campeonato Brasileiro da Serie A · 2018
1 0
Full Time
Sun 24 Sep 2017 · 22:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A .

Head-to-Head

7
2
9
EC Bahia 18 games · Avg 2.1 goals Grêmio FBPA

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Sep Grêmio FBPA H 1–0 W
18 Sep Cruzeiro EC A 0–1 L
20 Aug CR Vasco da Gama H 3–0 W
13 Aug CA Paranaense A 1–4 L
06 Aug Sao Paulo FC H 2–1 W
03 Aug Chapecoense AF A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Sep EC Bahia A 0–1 L
17 Sep Chapecoense AF H 0–1 L
10 Sep CR Vasco da Gama A 0–1 L
02 Sep SC Recife H 5–0 W
20 Aug CA Paranaense H 0–0 D
06 Aug CA Mineiro H 2–0 W

Key Stats

28% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
28% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

EC Bahia Lineups

Grêmio FBPA Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.21 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.67 Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia50% Draw30% Grêmio FBPA20%
Actual: EC Bahia win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.88
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 56%
44%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
80%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
50%
EC Bahia or Grêmio FBPA
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia31% Draw56% Grêmio FBPA13%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.7%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.2%
2 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
8.8%
2 – 1
7.4%
3 – 0
4.3%
1 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.1%
3 – 1
3.1%
2 – 2
2.6%
4 – 0
1.3%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push Grêmio FBPA covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 26% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 13% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
52%
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.