Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs Grêmio FBPA, 2018

Campeonato Brasileiro da Serie A · 2018
Mon 24 Jul 2017 · 23:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs Grêmio FBPA — Serie A .

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Sao Paulo FC 2.57
Draw 3.48
Grêmio FBPA 3.35

Head-to-Head

6
4
7
Sao Paulo FC 17 games · Avg 2.2 goals Grêmio FBPA

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jul Grêmio FBPA H 1–1 D
20 Jul CR Vasco da Gama H 1–0 W
16 Jul Chapecoense AF A 0–2 L
08 Jul Santos FC A 2–3 L
01 Jul CR Flamengo A 0–2 L
25 Jun Fluminense FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jul Sao Paulo FC A 1–1 D
19 Jul EC Vitoria A 3–1 W
12 Jul CR Flamengo A 1–0 W
01 Jul SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
25 Jun SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–1 L
20 Jun Cruzeiro EC A 3–3 D

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Sao Paulo FC Lineups

Grêmio FBPA Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.18 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Sao Paulo FC or Grêmio FBPA 69% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sao Paulo FC38% Draw31% Grêmio FBPA31%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.26
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
69%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
62%
Sao Paulo FC or Grêmio FBPA
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sao Paulo FC26% Draw52% Grêmio FBPA22%
Actual: Grêmio FBPA win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.8%
1 – 0
11.1%
0 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
7.6%
2 – 0
7%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3%
3 – 0
2.7%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push Grêmio FBPA covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 21% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 19% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
35%
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.