Thursday , 2 July 2026

US Lecce vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
Mon 20 Apr 2026 · 18:45 UTC Stadio Via del Mare 26,366 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 30' Jack Harrison
Tiago Gabriel 71' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

US Lecce vs ACF FiorentinaSerie A at Stadio Via del Mare.

Match Details

  • Referee Fabio Maresca
  • Assistant 1 Valerio Colarossi
  • Assistant 2 Pietro Dei Giudici
6 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr ACF Fiorentina H 1–1 D
12 Apr Bologna FC 1909 A 0–2 L
06 Apr Atalanta BC H 0–3 L
22 Mar AS Roma A 0–1 L
14 Mar SSC Napoli A 1–2 L
08 Mar US Cremonese H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Apr US Lecce A 1–1 D
13 Apr SS Lazio H 1–0 W
04 Apr Hellas Verona FC A 1–0 W
22 Mar FC Internazionale Milano H 1–1 D
16 Mar US Cremonese A 4–1 W
08 Mar Parma Calcio 1913 H 0–0 D

Season Stats

US Lecce ACF Fiorentina
#17 Position #15
38 Points 42
38 Played 38
10 / 8 / 20 W / D / L 9 / 15 / 14
28 Scored 41
50 Conceded 50
-22 GD -9
1.00 PPG 1.11
26% Win % 24%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

US Lecce are 17th (38 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Stadio Via del Mare that hosts another battle between US Lecce and ACF Fiorentina.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 11' Another substitution for ACF Fiorentina to replace Robin Gosens by Luis Balbo Vieira on 11 minute.
  • 16' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering ACF Fiorentina that had 456 games and scored 420 goals.
  • 21' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. US Lecce needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 26' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Marco Brescianini suffering a number of foals already.
  • 30' What a strike from Jack Harrison! The score is 0-1.
  • 35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 40' ACF Fiorentina seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 45' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 50' It’s high time Eusebio Di Francesco made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 55' Danilo Veiga needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 56' Another change for US Lecce made on 56 minute. Konan N'Dri leaves to be changed by Lameck Banda.
  • 57' The supporters are chanting for Omri Gandelman. He replaces Oumar Ngom on 57 minute.
  • 60' Time for substitution for ACF Fiorentina. Albert Gudmundsson is replaced by Manor Solomon.
  • 62' Santiago Pierotti was booked on 62.
  • 67' Antonino Gallo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 71' Goal! Tiago Gabriel scores his 3 goal in 102 matches.
  • 72' The referee shows US Lecce player a card on 72.
  • 76' ACF Fiorentina player sees a card in front of him.
  • 80' It’s gonna be a card for Marin Pongracic.
  • 80' The whistle greets Cher Ndour as he departs to be replaced by Marco Brescianini.
  • 82' ACF Fiorentina player sees a card in front of him.
  • 85' Another substitution for US Lecce to replace Antonino Gallo by Corrie Ndaba on 85 minute.
  • 90' Manor Solomon was booked on 90.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.91 US Lecce xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: ACF Fiorentina or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
US Lecce26% Draw29% ACF Fiorentina45%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

US Lecce or Draw
55%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
74%
US Lecce or ACF Fiorentina
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
US Lecce17% Draw49% ACF Fiorentina34%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
12.4%
0 – 0
11.1%
0 – 2
9.8%
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 0
7%
2 – 1
5.3%
0 – 3
4.8%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
3.6%
2 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — US Lecce

Handicap US Lecce covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 14% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 50% 50%
+1 50% 24% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 15% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

US Lecce keeps clean sheet
23%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
41%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.